COVID-19 Projected impact Dip began at Thanksgiving?

 

It looks like a slight downtick in growth rates, which appears to have started just before Thanksgiving. The peak was earlier in Idaho for some reason (around November 8), later in Texas (November 21), and the whole USA appears to peak around November 17.

This looks like it will translate into 100,000 fewer dead Americans by Inauguration Day, 5,000 fewer dead Texans, and an amazing 700 fewer dead Idahoans, if whatever is causing this trend continues.

Of course, we won't see the fallout from Thanksgiving and Black Friday until the middle of December.

Obviously, the numbers across the board the numbers are still growing strongly and steadily, which is not good. The blue curve is still climbing on an increasing upward slope. Hopefully this will flatten like back in September, and eventually go completely flat. So far no sign of that.








Thanksgiving Mermaid

 Happy Native American Genocide Day!

and out-of-control consumerism! Yay!



Thanksgiving Mermaid

 Happy Native American Genocide Day!



Thanksgiving Mermaid

 Happy Native American Genocide Day!




2020-11-19

Mermaid MMMCCCLLXIX

The octopus merperson becomes friendly! With matching hair, boo-yah!

 

2020-11-17

Mermaid MMMCCCLLXVII

\
This is especially sexy, I think.  But why...?

 

模倣子 Numb to the Cuteness

Wisecrack Edition on Disney 


A standard feeling and insight shared by denizens of the Tokyo Gaijin Community (you will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy, but I digress) was that one went to Tokyo Disneyland to take the cuteness factor of daily Japanese life DOWN a notch or two for a few hours, when one found it too hard to stay numb to the cuteness. Perhaps there's a lesson here. Japanese anime actually have powerful messages and end tragically, or are tragic throughout and then end tragically. The saddest film ever made is 火重るの墓 (Graveyard of the Fireflies) and notwithstanding the little sister Setsuko is as lovable and cute and round-featured as any Disney offering, which probably makes it all the sadder when one thinks on it. Bend like the willow in the implacable onslaught of cuteness, and not be broken like the oak in the tempest, mayhap?

COVID-19 Still Exponential Growth, Worsening, Idaho Back to Stage 2

 

Idaho has gone back to Stage 2 of the Covid response plan. Two weeks away from health care overwhelm. Churches still fully open. Thanksgiving less than two weeks away.



The growth characteristics of Idaho and the whole of the USA look like they may actually be accelerating on the log plot of deaths and cases, which is quite bad. 



The USA deaths has remained steady, still bad, but means that the percent rate growth is staying the same (about 1%), while the Idaho death and cases curves, which were remaining steady, appear to have stepped up into a faster rate of growth.

This means that more people are getting sicker faster, and are infecting more people and at a faster rate. We want to see these curves go flat and start to drop downwards, not keep climbing or start climbing at a faster rate.



2020-11-14