COVID-19 Log Plots

 

Here's the plot of all the numbers I have for the US, Texas, and Idaho. This "hockey stick" shape indicates severe growth which changed strongly around May.

And here's the breakout for each region, separately.

We see steady growth of cases and deaths in Idaho. The daily deaths and cases also appear to be growing at a steady rate (the data are noisy since the daily numbers are smaller than the totals).

Still have steady growth of deaths and cases in Texas.

Here we se how the epidemic shot up from less than a hundred patients to a million just between March and May, and then flattened in response to lockdown measures, contagion management (masks, social distance). The number of cases and deaths continues to climb steadily, albeit at a slower rate (around 1% these days). We see the trend of zero to a million in just a month or two stretched out to getting to ten million cases by the end of the year. We're still climbing towards a million dead, but that will tragic landmark will probably be reached around the middle of 2021.